TE and QB Tiers - Done

Hey there!

I told you we’re back.

My yearly QB and TE Physical Volatility tiers are now done! To celebrate, I’m gonna give you my quick breakdown on QB Tiers.

Order your copy of the Injury Prone Draft Guide by clicking on this link here. You’ll find Tiers for every position group!

Tiers Explain

• Tiers take into account an athlete’s re-injury risk based on historical data in addition to their risk of falling off the age cliff. Henceforth, “physical volatility”. 

• Green means good, yellow means hesitation, red means generally avoid at ADP depending on circumstance.

• Use tiers as a tiebreaker while drafting between the player you're considering and another similar player or consider pivoting to another position.

• These tiers separate players into tiers based on their physical volatility (i.e. injury and/or physical performance) potential

• Many injuries (hamstring strains, concussions, high ankle sprains, and kind of ACL tears, AC joint sprains etc.) are impossible to predict. 

Example: Justin Jefferson missed half the season despite being in the Green Light Tier in 2023.

What This Isn’t

1. An “Injury prediction” chapter

2. An injury prediction “model.”

3. A strict evaluation of a player's talent

QB Tiers

Synopsis: As expected an already injured Justin Herbert is in the red tier and even though time as helped, Tua’s concussion history places him in the red, too. Matthew Stafford’s thumb and legit wear and tear explains his presence and while his ADP is affordable, Deshaun Watson isn’t out of the woods yet. When splitting hairs at QB, Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud and Jayden Daniels are all coming off a concussion in 2023. Still, any QB in the top-5-6 by ADP are worth any risk. Just make sure to balance the rest of your teams and roster. 

Order your copy of the Injury Prone Draft Guide by clicking on this link here. You’ll find Tiers for every position group!